Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.306198 0.412016 0.529020 0.665741 0.819115 0.984139 1.173495
2025-04-27 0.178665 0.318296 0.492239 0.713514 0.978394 1.278005 1.636004
2025-05-04 0.129981 0.286894 0.499035 0.782781 1.134373 1.541964 2.038209
2025-05-11 0.088282 0.250400 0.489462 0.824695 1.252846 1.759479 2.385702
2025-05-18 0.052305 0.207360 0.460715 0.833908 1.324748 1.916732 2.658480
2025-05-25 0.019235 0.147557 0.394795 0.784112 1.315316 1.970695 2.804881
2025-06-01 0.002962 0.098846 0.332973 0.730640 1.294161 2.005000 2.923300
2025-06-08 NaN 0.070324 0.296960 0.708760 1.310486 2.082635 3.091308
2025-06-15 NaN 0.057413 0.287278 0.724861 1.376982 2.222740 3.335068
2025-06-22 NaN 0.041081 0.264165 0.716468 1.407524 2.315531 3.519509
2025-06-29 NaN 0.026097 0.236503 0.696825 1.419838 2.383187 3.671532
2025-07-06 NaN 0.023393 0.242316 0.734263 1.514045 2.557724 3.957314
2025-07-13 NaN 0.020431 0.247765 0.773993 1.616332 2.749133 4.272604
2025-07-20 NaN 0.018692 0.257123 0.821494 1.731379 2.959240 4.613960
2025-07-27 NaN 0.020949 0.281882 0.897161 1.887920 3.224142 5.024271
2025-08-03 NaN 0.019018 0.289783 0.941836 1.998784 3.428787 5.358888
2025-08-10 NaN 0.013413 0.279453 0.951805 2.057671 3.564176 5.605816
2025-08-17 NaN 0.004361 0.237800 0.898337 2.019276 3.568305 5.685140
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000279 0.197436 0.840829 1.971028 3.556669 5.742338
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.175466 0.817253 1.972796 3.610974 5.882294
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.172546 0.834604 2.038794 3.753107 6.135520
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.158664 0.825561 2.061991 3.835918 6.311738
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.140735 0.804384 2.064404 3.889240 6.449165